dennisgorelik: (Default)
I think these sanctions would end up being mostly symbolic and would have no real effect. Which is exactly how it should be, considering that some limited lobbying of US elections by other countries is a good thing (it keeps countries together).

The overwhelmingly bipartisan vote of 97-2 sent a message to Vladimir Putin that lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are serious about punishing Russia for its actions last year -- and sent a message to Trump that they're serious about ensuring that those sanctions stay in place until Congress is ready to lift them.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's spokesman ... said it was "strange" that sanctions intended to punish Russia for alleged interference in the U.S. elections could also trigger penalties against European companies.
dennisgorelik: (Default)
Letterman: But you are worth like 4 billion dollars or something?
Trump: I hope so.
Trump: We are living in very precarious times. If you look at what certain countries are doing to this country, such as Japan. I mean, they've totally taken advantage of the country. ...

Trump did not change.

Back then he was vague about his wealth he is vague about his wealth now.

Back then he was blaming other countries (Japan) for taking advantage of the US. Now he is blaming other countries (China and Mexico) for taking advantage of the US.

More Trump history.
dennisgorelik: (Default)
Donald Trump suggested to pay for the wall from the new 20% tax on Mexican imports. Lawmakers refused to cooperate. So Trump changed his mind.

That made me think if Trump understands what he is going to do with the economy.
But the thing is that economy is not the only Trump's consideration. More importantly, he has to comply with public opinion. Unfortunately that public opinion is self-destructive on multiple issues.
So balancing public opinion vs practical economic goals is hard.

I believe that in order to increase our economic benefits - we should reduce government regulations ~5x (or, at least, 2x for starters).
Which means that government should work mostly on reducing regulations, not on introducing new ones.

However that thing with reducing government regulations is actually not that simple.
Complex government regulations could serve an important role of circumventing popular (but dumb) public opinion.
For example:
1) Complex tax code (such as tax deductions) allows to effectively reduce taxes without offending popular public opinion that we should tax rich people a lot.
2) Introducing legal minimum wage allows to discriminate against low skill people and keep them away from affluent neighborhoods.

Politics is really complex and hard to grasp.
dennisgorelik: (2009)
Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett: It was clearly an election none other I've ever seen.
... I'm sure we've set a record for what I call negative votes.
Poppy Harlow: Do you support Donald Trump as the next President?
Warren Buffett: I support any President of the United States. It is very important that American people coalesce behind the President.
Warren Buffett: Much of the American public did not like any of the candidates very well.
Warren Buffett: By far the most important thing is what person is likely as a President to minimize the chances of weapons of mass destruction being used.
Warren Buffett: I had exit polls of one of the best news organizations around. At 7pm EST ... they were off by 6 or 7 points.
Poppy Harlow: So all these predictions that the market is going to tank under President Trump
Warren Buffett: They are silly.
Warren Buffett: This is not exclusive to Donald Trump - there are a lot of things said in campaigns that don't happen after the election.
Poppy Harlow: Are you concerned about his ability to operate big businesses?
Warren Buffett: I don't have to worry about him operating big business at all. That does not really in my judgement determine whether somebody makes a great President. Harry Truman went broke in a Haberdashery store near Kansas City or in Kansas City. He wasn't much of a businessman. He turned out to be a terrific president.

Warren Buffett: That is what Mario Cuomo said: "You campaign in poetry. You govern in prose."
Poppy Harlow: You often picked up the telephone when President Obama called you for your advice. If a President Trump calls you to come to the White House to help him to advise with economic policy - would you do that?
Warren Buffett: I would do that with any President... that's part of being a citizen.
Poppy Harlow: Have you spoken with Hillary Clinton since she conceded?
Warren Buffett: No. No.

1) It's interesting that Buffet's concerns about WMD usage is not that much about using WMD in a war, but more like terrorist usage.
Poppy Harlow did not catch that and suggested that the problem is with Trump's temperament.
Buffett did not notice that Poppy Harlow did not catch the meaning of his words and just extended "Temperament and Judgement".

2) Does Buffett still believe that the news organization that measured exit polls is really one of the best?
dennisgorelik: (2009)
My 8-years old son would have voted for Hillary today (if he was old enough for that).
He is definite about it.
His reasoning:
1) First woman President.
2) Care for the environment.

His source of information: YouTube ads.

Hillary raised 64% more funds for her campaign than Trump:
Hillary Clinton campaign:
$1.3 B

Donald Trump campaign:
$795 M

$486.7 million
Party and joint fundraising committees
$60.1 million
Super PACs

These money went to political ads and probably significantly influenced the outcome of this Presidential election.

My vote is not as easy to buy though. I voted for Gary Johnson - to send a message to whoever would win this race in what direction they should adjust their political positions.
dennisgorelik: (2009)
10 months ago when I took isidewith quiz, Trump was much further down.
But now he moved closer to my views and is in the second place (after Gary Johnson).
Now Trump and I share 79% of views (was 69% back in October 2015).
It looks like Trump is doing what analysts predicted he would be doing: after winning Republican primaries he changed his rhetoric to embrace some popular Democratic and Libertarian views.

Hillary Clinton was at 67% and now she is down to 64%.
It's a wrong move after winning Democratic Primaries.
It looks like she does not want to win this elections.
dennisgorelik: (2009)
Rwanda politics is controversial.

To the right of Barack Obama - Paul Kagame with his daughter.

Back in 1994 Paul Kagame ordered shooting presidential plane. That assassinated Rwandan President Habyarimana and some other top politicians. That assassination sparked infamous Rwandan Genocide against Tutsi population.
Paul Kagame led RPF to take control over Rwanda. That ended the genocide.


After taking over Rwanda Paul Kagame takes position of the Vice President with his friend Pasteur Bizimungu becoming puppet President.

Pasteur Bizimungu
Pasteur Bizimungu (born 1950) was the fifth President of Rwanda, holding office from 19 July 1994 until 23 March 2000.
A Hutu, Bizimingu was born in the Gisenyi prefecture of Rwanda.[1] According to the academic Filip Reyntjens, Bizimungu had ties to radical anti-Tutsi groups as a student in the 1970s, but later joined the RPF. He served as President of Rwanda after the 1994 Genocide.
In July 1994 the RPF gained control of the country and established a national unity government. The RPF leader, Paul Kagame, was chosen as vice president, and Bizimungu became president.

During Bizimungu's administration, many believed that he was merely a figurehead, and Kagame held the real power.
Bizimungu soon found himself in conflict with Kagame over what Bizimungu argued was unjustified repression of dissent.
Bizimungu resigned in March 2000 in a dispute over the make-up of a new cabinet, and Kagame became president.
In May 2001, Bizimungu founded a new political party, the Party for Democratic Renewal (PDR). It was almost immediately banned by the government, which accused it of being a radical Hutu party. Bizimungu was arrested.
He was placed under house arrest for continuing the operations of the party on 19 April 2002 and charged with endangering the state. On 7 June 2004 he was sentenced to 15 years in prison for attempting to form a militia, inciting violence, and embezzlement.
He was released on 6 April 2007, having been pardoned by Kagame. Kagame gave no explanation of the pardon.

Rwanda's economy has grown rapidly under Kagame's presidency, with per-capita gross domestic product (purchasing power parity) estimated at $1,592 in 2013, compared with $567 in 2000.

dennisgorelik: (2009)
I side with Rand Paul on 88% of issues
Rick Santorum - 72%
Jeb Bush - 72%
Carly Fiorina - 70%
Donald Trump - 69%
Hillary Clinton - 67%
Bernie Sanders - 67%
Ted Cruz - 63%
Ben Carson - 57%

1) Realistically, my choice at the actual election would be Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton.
69% match vs 67% match.

2) It's funny, but I have a pretty strong positive match even with Bernie Sanders.

You side extremely towards “Small Government”, meaning you very strongly believe the government is overly bureaucratic, inefficient, and wasteful. This theme is somewhat important to you.

You side strongly towards “Liberty”, meaning you strongly support free market policies that create opportunity for personal liberty and success. This theme is somewhat important to you.

You side moderately towards “Capitalism”, meaning you support an economic system that features private ownership of wealth. This theme is somewhat important to you.
dennisgorelik: (2009)
Запрос к Google "Удали пожалуйста комментарий, у нас в семье горе" выдаёт мне один результат:

Результат поиска показывает на, но найденного комментария на этой странице уже нет (вероятно, удалили).

При поиске с некоторых мест (Архангельск, Michigan) этот результат не видно (и показываются результаты поиска без кавычек).
При поиске с других мест (California, Florida) - видно.

А вам - видно?
Напишите, пожалуйста, откуда вы делали поиск.

Из дискуссии отсюда

Гугл, оказывается, до сих пор хранит кэш:
dennisgorelik: (2009)
As you can see from the diagram below:
1) Russia, Iran and Lebanon Shia support Assad and hate Syria Rebels.
2) United States, Al Qaeda, Hamas, and Israel support Syria Rebels and hate Assad.
dennisgorelik: (Default)

My Next Door Neighbor wants to BAN all GUNS!
Their house is NOT ARMED!
Out of RESPECT for their opinions
I promise NOT to use MY GUNS

Found here


dennisgorelik: (Default)
Dennis Gorelik

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